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The predominant and continuously expanding share of the services
sectors (55% of GDP in 1980, 66% in 1990 and 75,7% in 2003) at the
cost of both the primary sectors of economic activity, agriculture
and mining and quarrying and the secondary sectors of manufacturing
and construction, reflects the comparative advantages, which Cyprus
enjoys in the sectors of services.
These advantages derive mainly from:
-
its strategic
geographical location at the crossroads of three continents;
-
the favourable
business climate, which is directly related to the prevalence of
conditions of macroeconomic stability and a generally favourable
tax regime. In relation to this, the recent tax reform
introduced a uniform corporate tax rate of 10%;
-
the well-educated
labour force (according to the Labour Force Survey of 2003,
32,5% of the total gainfully employed population are graduates
of tertiary level education), in conjunction with the
competitive, as compared to international standards, level of
remuneration;
-
the relatively
satisfactory state of its infrastructure in transport, energy
and telecommunications;
-
satisfactory living
conditions for foreigners, as well as
-
the close economic
and political relations Cyprus has developed with its
neighbouring countries.
The hotels and restaurants sector’s share to GDP rose throughout
the 1980s (3,6% in 1980, 10,6% in 1990). During the 1990s,
however, the sector exhibited fluctuations, and its share was
contained to 7,7% of GDP in 2003, confirming its vulnerability
to exogenous and imponderable factors.
The sectors of financial
services, business and real estate and renting activities,
educational and health services, also exhibited an increasing trend
in their share to GDP. This development was the result of the
utilization of the comparative advantages of Cyprus as far as the
supply of high quality of services are concerned, both in the
domestic market and in the external market, as well as the high
income elasticity which characterizes these services. The share of
public administration and defence to GDP exhibited intertemporally a
slight increasing trend; it remained, however, at low levels by
international comparison.
The agricultural sector’s share to GDP has been decreasing (10% in
1980, 7,1% in 1990 and 4% in 2003), a development that constitutes
an international phenomenon, and is attributed to the relatively
low-income elasticity of demand for agricultural products, the
urbanization trend and the reallocation of productive resources from
agriculture to other more profitable economic activities. In the
case of Cyprus, a constraining factor to the growth of the
agricultural sector was also the Turkish invasion and the occupation
of a large portion of fertile land, the water scarcity for
irrigation, a problem which has become more intense in the past few
years, the land fragmentation into small units, which prevents the
use of advanced technology and the use of agricultural land for
tourist development and other uses. In parallel, agricultural
production faced intense competition during the 1990s due to the
trend towards gradual liberalization of world trade of agricultural
products.
The contribution of the manufacturing sector to GDP also exhibited a
falling trend since the early 1980s (18,2% in 1980, 14,7% in 1990,
9,and 3% in 2003). The sector is characterized by chronic problems
of competitiveness, due, inter alia, to the small size of the
majority of manufacturing units, which negatively affects their
capacity to utilize advanced technology and modern methods of
management, production and marketing. A study conducted by the
Department of Economics of the University of Cyprus, in which the
total factor productivity index of the manufacturing sector was
estimated, confirmed that during the period 1987-96 the rate of
increase of productivity in most Cypriot manufacturing sub-sectors
was lower, compared to that of all other countries included in the
study, that is, Germany, France, Italy and the UK. The decreasing
trend of the contribution of the manufacturing sector to GDP is also
attributed to the faster increase of production costs, as compared
to competitor countries as well as the intensification of
competition due to the implementation of the Customs Union Agreement
between Cyprus and the E.U. and the trend towards liberalization of
world trade.
The construction sector’s share to GDP has also been falling (14% in
1980, 9,9% in 1990, 8,2% in 2003), a development attributed to the
satisfaction of the housing needs of the vast majority of the
population, the reduced interest in the construction of new tourist
accommodation and the relative slackening of demand for secondary
homes in recent years. Concerning the housing conditions, it is
noted that according to the Family Budget Survey 1996/97, 74,3% of
the households live in privately owned dwellings and a substantial
percentage around 16,5% lives in Government housing estates, such as
refugee estates, self-help housing estates etc. It is noted,
however, that a reversal of the decreasing trend of the construction
sector is observed during the past three years, a development mainly
attributed to the expansion of investment demand of the private
sector. The increased interest of the private sector is partly
explained by the negative performance of the investment in the C.S.E.,
which increased the relative profitability of investment in
immovable property, as well as the increased external demand for
holiday houses, as shown by the applications and approvals for
purchase of immovable property by foreigners.
In conclusion, the continuing upward trend of the share of the
tertiary sectors of services to GDP reflects the comparative
advantages of Cyprus in these sectors and denotes the important role
of services in a contemporary society.
Structure of
Employment -
The change in the structure of production in favour of the tertiary
sectors implied a similar change in the structure of employment. The
contribution of the tertiary sectors to the total gainfully employed
population increased from 45,5% in 1980, to 57,2% in 1990 and around
71,5% in 2003, which was accompanied by a fall in the shares of both
the primary and secondary sectors. In parallel, it is noted that as
early as from the beginning of the 1960s there was a decrease, in
absolute terms, of employment in the primary sectors, while a
similar trend is observed in the secondary sectors as from the
beginning of the 1990s, a development which implies that the
additional posts are exclusively created in the tertiary sectors of
services.
Another basic characteristic of the labour market is the employment
of large numbers of foreign workers, especially in unskilled or
low-skilled occupations. The total number of legally employed
foreign workers reached 40.700 in 2003 and represented 12,9% of the
gainfully employed population. From a sectoral perspective, in 2003
29,6% of the foreign workers in Cyprus were employed as household
help, 19,6% worked in the sector of hotels and restaurants, 8,5% in
construction, 8,4% in agriculture, 8,3% in manufacturing and 8,3% in
trade.
Structure of
Investment -
There has been a decline in gross fixed capital formation as a
percentage of GDP over the past years, from 34% in 1980 to 24,5% in
1990 and around 17,5% in 2003. This development reflects the gradual
satisfaction of the housing needs of the refugees and, more
recently, the reduced interest in investing in new tourist
accommodation. In addition, economic activity has tended in recent
years to focus on the tertiary sectors of services, which are more
labour-intensive rather than capital-intensive.
The structure of investment continues to display weaknesses, given
that about 69% of the total is channelled into construction works.
Investment in machinery and equipment, however, improved in recent
years, with its share to total gross fixed capital formation rising
from 19,5% in 1980 to 26,5% in 2003, but still lacks behind as
compared to the respective percentage of the majority of the
developed countries, which fluctuates between 40-50%. These figures
are indicative of the low level of utilization of advanced
technology, which affects adversely the growth of productivity,
particularly in the primary and secondary sectors.
Structure of
Exports - The
changing structure of the Cyprus economy is reflected in a parallel
change in the structure of exports of goods and services.
Characteristic of these changes is the rise in the exports of
services, which in 2003 accounted for around 85% of all revenues
from the export of goods and services, compared to 50% in 1980.
Exports of services, except tourism, constitute the primary source,
accounting for about 53% of the total. Tourism contributes around
32% of total receipts from exports of goods and services and the E.U.
countries constitute our main tourist market with a share of 83,3%
of the total tourist arrivals. The share of the UK in total tourist
arrivals accounted for 58,5% in 2003, while Germany, Greece, Russia
and Sweden followed with a percentage share of 5,6%, 4,8%, 4,6% and
3,8% respectively. At the same time, the share of international
business activities exhibits an upward trend and has risen from 1%
of the total value of exports of goods and services in 1980 to 12%
in 2003. Other export-oriented sub-sectors include banking and other
business services, such as accounting, market research, consultancy
services, etc.
Exports of goods accounted for about 15% of total foreign currency
revenue in 2003, with the largest share, around 7%, coming from
re-exports. Domestic exports accounted for 6,5% of the total and
ship stores for the remaining 1,and 5%. Cyprus’ main agricultural
exports are potatoes and citrus fruit, while the most important
manufactured products are pharmaceuticals, clothing, despite a
steady decline in the past decade, cigarettes, cement and Halloumi -
cheese.
Trade
Relations -
The E.U. member countries and particularly Britain continue to be
the most important trading partners of Cyprus, absorbing 54,5% of
domestic exports in 2003. The share of domestic exports, which is
absorbed by the E.U., exhibited an upward trend during the 1980s,
from 33% in 1980 to 61% in 1990. However, during the 1990s, the
corresponding share decreased gradually to 54,5% in 2003,
reflecting, mainly, the erosion of competitiveness of Cyprus’
products in these markets.
The Arab countries absorb about 17% of domestic exports and
constitute the second most important trading partner of Cyprus. The
Eastern European countries progressively increased their share in
domestic exports reaching 10,5% in recent years. As regards imports,
the E.U. constitutes the main supplier of goods with a percentage of
around 55,5% of total in 2003. It is noted that an important part of
imports comes from other countries, such as Japan, 5,6%, China,
4,9%, the USA, 4,2% and other Asian countries with a percentage
share of around 4,5%.
Distribution
of Income by Factors of Production
- The basic characteristic of the Cyprus economy, as far as the
distribution of income by factors of production is concerned, is the
high, compared to international levels, percentage share of capital
earnings (profits, depreciation, interest) to GDP. Over time, a
slight downward trend has been observed during the past decade, from
42,8% in 1990 to 40,and 8% in 2002. Correspondingly, the percentage
share of income of both employees and self-employed rose slightly
from 57,2% in 1990 to 59,2% in 2002.
At the same time, it is noted that Cyprus is in a generally
favourable position, as regards the distribution of income.
Indicatively, the Gini coefficient, which gives an overall picture
of the distribution of income and fluctuates between 0 (complete
equality in the distribution of income) and 1 (complete inequality),
in 1996/97, was estimated, based on the net income per adult
equivalent, according to the Family Budget Survey to be 0,324,
virtually identical to the corresponding one in the E.U., where the
Gini coefficient in 1994 was equivalent to 0,322. In addition,
according to the same Survey, in 1996/97 the poorest 20% of Cyprus’
population received 8% of total disposable income, while the richest
20% received 37% of the total income, that is, 4,6 times more (known
as the S80/S20 ratio). In 1994 the corresponding figures for the E.U.
were 8% for the poorest 20% of the population and 39% for the
richest 20%, giving an S80/S20 ratio of 4,9.On the basis of this
indicator, income distribution was less unequal in Cyprus as
compared to the E.U. |